Nick Thomas wrote:Perhaps a maths'y person with too much time on their hands (Alex?) could work it out exactly.
O hi. I have just gained time on my hands now that exams are over for the year.
A difference of 50 points under the ECF system is the value for an expected win. So with 362, Surrey should have had 7.24 more wins than Warwickshire. So let's say 7. In effect, you'd have 9 draws and 7 Surrey wins, so the expected final score should be 11.5-4.5. So you could argue that Warwickshire underperformed by 3 points.
Re: your later assertion - which I deleted from your quote and can't be bothered to go and find again - I think 4 of the Warwickshire team played in the 4NCL last season; yourself and Andy were the only two regulars. I don't think that many of the Surrey team were from memory - not knowing them means I paid less attention to their games - but they certainly had more than Warwickshire.
Warwickshire were without (for this Quarter Final) Mason, Naylor, James, Shephard, Hainke, McCumiskey, Weaving, Maciol, Pitcher... and that's off the top of my head.