World Senior Chess Championship S50
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Sturua has drawn, Keith has a chance for a small edge with 22.Bxh3 and Qa3
Will Keith be inspired and seize the moment?
Will Keith be inspired and seize the moment?
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
It gives Keith the chance to play the sort of position he likes, hopefully, and keep on pushing while the rest of us work out the tiebreak position
Any postings on here represent my personal views
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Am surprised Sturua took the draw (presumably offered by his opponent?). His position did look double-edged, but then Keith's position doesn't really look like White can make much progress. He didn't play Qa3 either, went for Qc2 instead.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Capablanca era theory would assert that Black had a pawn structure advantage with three against two on the queen-side. I believe Keith has written that he doesn't accept this and considers the king-side majority a potential advantage in those types of positions.Christopher Kreuzer wrote: but then Keith's position doesn't really look like White can make much progress.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Official site has one of Keith's extras as having drawn, with N+6 v B+4. Given that there have been errors before (notably Keith v Mark) it would be nice to know.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
For Keith, Madeira Wagner Martins has won allegedly, but Hafez Bakr is losing (so that will be the one Keith drops in the first Buchholz tie break I assume) and Yasin Hur is losing to John - Kalegin looks to be losing to Bruno, although Bruno is a little short on timeSimon Brown wrote:I think Sturua and Keith have had seven opponents in common, including each other, so the other four are relevant. Two of Sturua's have already drawn, and two of Keith's appear to be material ahead with good chances. The game between Bruno and Kalegin looks very unclear; Sturua's last one is a little worse against Terry, and Keith's last one is worse against John. So if it goes to tiebreaks, Keith's prospects looking better than three hours ago.
Last edited by Mick Norris on Tue Nov 04, 2014 3:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Now Terry has drawn and one of Keith's others looks lost, so I think Keith has to win.
Edit - didn't know you dropped one. Hopefully Keith has worked it out, but I think if John wins and the Bruno game is a draw, it is equal on Bucholz. What happens then? Might be academic though as Bruno looks to be winning, which would help Sturua.
Edit - didn't know you dropped one. Hopefully Keith has worked it out, but I think if John wins and the Bruno game is a draw, it is equal on Bucholz. What happens then? Might be academic though as Bruno looks to be winning, which would help Sturua.
Last edited by Simon Brown on Tue Nov 04, 2014 4:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Game drawn
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Keith has agreed a draw.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Sturua's pairingsMick Norris wrote:I think Sturua and Keith have had seven opponents in common, including each other, so the other four are relevant.
Code: Select all
Rd. Bo. SNo Name Rtg FED Pts. Res.
1 3 26 FM Furman Boris 2152 RUS 5.5 s ½
2 11 37 CM Kempen Leon 1949 AUS 5.0 w 1
3 4 16 IM Shevelev Arkady 2295 ISR 5.0 s 1
4 2 8 GM Arkell Keith C 2450 ENG 8.0 w ½
5 3 9 IM Bruno Fabio 2422 ITA 6.5 s 1
6 1 1 GM Nunn John D M 2602 ENG 7.0 w 1
7 1 4 GM Sveshnikov Evgeny 2517 LAT 6.5 w ½
8 2 10 GM Kristiansen Jens 2405 DEN 5.5 s 1
9 1 11 IM Barle Janez 2338 SLO 6.5 w ½
10 2 2 GM Hebden Mark L 2540 ENG 6.0 s 1
11 1 5 GM Bischoff Klaus 2504 GER 6.5 w
Code: Select all
Rd. Bo. SNo Name Rtg FED Pts. Res.
1 8 32 IM Hafez Bakr 2013 JOR 4.5 w 1
2 7 21 FM Madeira Wagner Martins 2207 BRA 4.5 s 1
3 1 1 GM Nunn John D M 2602 ENG 7.0 w ½
4 2 3 GM Sturua Zurab 2523 GEO 8.0 s ½
5 5 5 GM Bischoff Klaus 2504 GER 6.5 w 1
6 3 10 GM Kristiansen Jens 2405 DEN 5.5 s 0
7 5 7 IM Kalegin Evgenij 2474 RUS 6.0 w 1
8 3 2 GM Hebden Mark L 2540 ENG 6.0 w 1
9 3 27 Yasin Hur 2138 TUR 6.5 s 1
10 1 4 GM Sveshnikov Evgeny 2517 LAT 6.5 s 1
11 2 11 IM Barle Janez 2338 SLO 6.5 w
Bruno Fabio 2422 ITA 6.5 (advantage Bruno)
Furman Boris 2152 RUS 5.5 (draw)
Kempen Leon 1949 AUS 5 (draw)
Shevelev Arkady 2295 ISR 5 (draw)
So a likely effective first tie break of 7.5+6+5.5 = 19 and a second tie break of 19 + 5.5 = 24.5
In alphabetic order for Keith we're looking at
Hafez Bakr 2013 JOR 4.5 (lost)
Kalegin Evgenij 2474 RUS 6 (worse - see Bruno)
Madeira Wagner Martins 2207 BRA 4.5 (draw)
Yasin Hur 2138 TUR 6.5 (worse against Nunn)
Thus a likely effective first tie-break of 6.5+6+5 = 17.5 and a second tie break of 17.5 + 4.5 = 22
(edit) Madeira actually won so it would be 18 and 22.5 (/edit)
So advantage Sturua. The Bruno -Kalegin game could turn it round. Reverse the currently forecast result and it becomes 18 v 18.5.
Last edited by Roger de Coverly on Tue Nov 04, 2014 5:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
hats off
well done Keith joint 1st I didn't predict that you with finish ahead of Nunn
nice win against Hebden
well done Keith joint 1st I didn't predict that you with finish ahead of Nunn
nice win against Hebden
Member of "the strongest amateur chess club in London" (Cavendish)
my views are not representative of any clubs or organisations.
my views are not representative of any clubs or organisations.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Not only did you not predict, but you mocked me and suggested I was high for my suggestion that Keith was favouriteMartin Crichton wrote:hats off
well done Keith joint 1st I didn't predict that you with finish ahead of Nunn
nice win against Hebden
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
I presume a draw between Bruno and Kalegin is not enough?
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Not of itself. But it would be if Yasin v Nunn were also drawn. And I think that Nunn now only needs a draw for third.Christopher Kreuzer wrote:I presume a draw between Bruno and Kalegin is not enough?
Poster notes ethical problem and hastily logs out.
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Re: World Senior Chess Championship S50
Madeira won, so the first tiebreaks look to be 19-18 in favour of SturuaRoger de Coverly wrote:In alphabetic order for Sturua we're looking at
Bruno Fabio 2422 ITA 6.5 (advantage Bruno)
Furman Boris 2152 RUS 5.5 (draw)
Kempen Leon 1949 AUS 5 (draw)
Shevelev Arkady 2295 ISR 5 (draw)
So a likely effective first tie break of 7.5+6+5.5 = 19 and a second tie break of 19 + 5.5 = 24.5
In alphabetic order for Keith we're looking at
Hafez Bakr 2013 JOR 4.5 (lost)
Kalegin Evgenij 2474 RUS 6 (worse - see Bruno)
Madeira Wagner Martins 2207 BRA 4.5 (draw)
Yasin Hur 2138 TUR 6.5 (worse against Nunn)
Thus a likely effective first tie-break of 6.5+6+5 = 17.5 and a second tie break of 17.5 + 4.5 = 22
So advantage Sturua. The Bruno -Kalegin game could turn it round. Reverse the currently forecast result and it becomes 18 v 18.5.
If Bruno only drew, it would be level on first tiebreak, but Sturua would be ahead on second tiebreak
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