Nick Thomas wrote:Steve Collyer wrote:It covers all games, although logic dictates you'd expect a slightly higher matchup %'s for longer time controls in CC than in OTB with 3 minutes or so per move.
However, many people playing CC have 50+ games in progress & make several hundred moves per month. All these are logged also, so unless you have a Super GM giving a free online simul blitz demonstration, anyone approaching the top 1 match = 60%, top 2 match = 75%, top 3 match = 85% is almost certainly being rather naughty.
Well this sounds a bit suspicious to me. The stats for CC (considering it is mostly bullet, blitz or quickplay) must be VASTLY different to over the board longplay. I just had a look at my last OTB game and came up with these stats:
Top 1 Match = 65%
Top 2 Match = 80%
Top 3 Match = 87%
I wouldn't be surprised if this is fairly normal for a half decent player in OTB longplay

Hi Nick.
I have recently completed analysis of all 20 games in the Fischer-Spassky 1972 WC match. Fischer is often spoken of as one of the all-time strongest players, also one of the least blunder-prone.
My analysis was under the same conditions as before:
Fritz 11 @ 30 seconds per move
Pentium 4 2.93GHz 1GB RAM
Hash Table 192MB
Database used
http://www.chesslive.de
For obvious reasons a game is classed as “out of book†once I cannot find the position in the chesslive database prior to the 1972 Fischer-Spassky World Championship.
Fischer
Top 1 Match: 385/658 (58,5% )
Top 2 Match: 509/658 (77,4% )
Top 3 Match: 563/658 (85,6% )
Spassky
Top 1 Match: 368/657 (56,0% )
Top 2 Match: 461/657 (70,2% )
Top 3 Match: 525/657 (79,9% )
If you analyse your last 20 OTB games with more than 20 out-of-book moves (games must be objectively selected) against similarly rated players to you & can get near the Fischer matchup figures above then you are a very special player.
If anyone wants, I can post all the game matchup figures in a different thread.