On a negative note, don't plan too deep. This event won't happen. We'll be well into a 3rd wave by then, albeit a wave hopefully lowered by vaccinationsJohn Sellen wrote: ↑Tue Mar 09, 2021 8:01 pmFrom the Torbay Chess Congress website
"On a positive note, we are planning to hold the 2021 Congress on Armistice weekend (12th - 14th November). We hope to start accepting entries for the 2021 Congress around the middle of 2021.
(Chess) Life Returning To Normal
Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
The harbinger of doom! Mind you the 1918/19 Spanish 'Flu pandemic came in three waves, the second the most virulent by far and the third the least. It returned in a much milder form in 1920 with only a handful of deaths. Of course, in those times there was no vaccine, but according to the results pages from the local press, chess continued alongside darts, skittles and bagatelle. It seems these activities were centred on a network of local working mens clubs which appear to have been pulling pints as usual. Maybe we'll get away with it - 50p that it goes ahead Professor?
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
Crucially, there was also no SAGE.David Gilbert wrote: ↑Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:33 pmOf course, in those times there was no vaccine, but according to the results pages from the local press, chess continued alongside darts, skittles and bagatelle.
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a QR code stamped on a human face — forever.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
No we had Newsholme instead!NickFaulks wrote: ↑Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:40 pmCrucially, there was also no SAGE.David Gilbert wrote: ↑Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:33 pmOf course, in those times there was no vaccine, but according to the results pages from the local press, chess continued alongside darts, skittles and bagatelle.
Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
"... The Chief Medical Officer of the Local Government Board (LGB), Sir Arthur Newsholme, did not see the notice, but in the same month cancelled plans he had prepared for dealing with a resurgence of the epidemic, because of the requirements of the war.
His strategy had proposed measures such as preventing large gatherings of people or overcrowding on public transport (where the disease could easily spread) and provisions for maintaining the production of munitions for the war effort. He did not issue any instructions to local authorities until 22 October..."
https://history.blog.gov.uk/2018/09/13/ ... t-spanish/
His strategy had proposed measures such as preventing large gatherings of people or overcrowding on public transport (where the disease could easily spread) and provisions for maintaining the production of munitions for the war effort. He did not issue any instructions to local authorities until 22 October..."
https://history.blog.gov.uk/2018/09/13/ ... t-spanish/
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
I am still annoyed by the government's wording of phase 2, in particular the following 2 sentences:
The main issues I have is the difference between "up to 15 parents" and "up to 15 people" (are children "people" from a government jargon point of view???), as well as the string "parent and child group": is it "parent" and "child group" or "parent and child" "group"?
All children’s activities, indoor parent & child groups (up to 15 parents).
I can see the following interpretations:All children will be able to attend any indoor children’s activity, including sport, regardless of circumstance. Parent and child groups of up to 15 people (not counting children aged under five years old) can restart indoors.
- Only a total of 15 individuals (parents + children are allowed), excluding under 5s
- Only 15 households are allowed, with no limit of children
- An unlimited number of children is allowed, and only 15 adults
The main issues I have is the difference between "up to 15 parents" and "up to 15 people" (are children "people" from a government jargon point of view???), as well as the string "parent and child group": is it "parent" and "child group" or "parent and child" "group"?
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
I have a feeling that we're driving things low enough before reopening/vaccinations sufficiently far along that any 3rd wave will be very heavily lowered.David Robertson wrote: ↑Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:26 pmOn a negative note, don't plan too deep. This event won't happen. We'll be well into a 3rd wave by then, albeit a wave hopefully lowered by vaccinationsJohn Sellen wrote: ↑Tue Mar 09, 2021 8:01 pmFrom the Torbay Chess Congress website
"On a positive note, we are planning to hold the 2021 Congress on Armistice weekend (12th - 14th November). We hope to start accepting entries for the 2021 Congress around the middle of 2021.
It'll need a few months to build of course, which should get most of the adult population vaccinated.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
The risk to event organisers is also that political and medical establishments will panic and impose lockdowns "just in case". I suppose the shut down of last year's Northumberland Congress was justified, but it's still a risk that Congress organisers and players have to take. In the case of players it's whether to book potentially non-refundable accommodation and travel as well as the personal risk if the event goes ahead.MartinCarpenter wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:55 amI have a feeling that we're driving things low enough before reopening/vaccinations sufficiently far along that any 3rd wave will be very heavily lowered.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
My reading of this is that these are two separate types of event; first, general children's activities, where children are in social contact but not their parents, and second, the 'parent and toddler' type of group where the parents are socially mixing as well. I take the 'up to 15 parents' as an indication that the second clause is indeed referring to parent and toddler groups where all the children are tiny.Wadih Khoury wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:24 amI am still annoyed by the government's wording of phase 2, in particular the following 2 sentences:
All children’s activities, indoor parent & child groups (up to 15 parents).I can see the following interpretations:All children will be able to attend any indoor children’s activity, including sport, regardless of circumstance. Parent and child groups of up to 15 people (not counting children aged under five years old) can restart indoors.
Points 1 and 2 would allow small tournaments, while 3 would allow large scale junior tournaments (with autonomous juniors who do not require parents around).
- Only a total of 15 individuals (parents + children are allowed), excluding under 5s
- Only 15 households are allowed, with no limit of children
- An unlimited number of children is allowed, and only 15 adults
The main issues I have is the difference between "up to 15 parents" and "up to 15 people" (are children "people" from a government jargon point of view???), as well as the string "parent and child group": is it "parent" and "child group" or "parent and child" "group"?
There's somewhere else in the document where children's activities and 'Parent and child group' are under separate bullet points, which supports the notion that these are separate types of event.
Separately, HMG guidance on education and youth activities during the pandemic (when we were in the tier system) had earlier said that groups should not be larger than 15. I haven't checked whether this is still operational, but do think it good practice to keep the size of child 'bubbles' as quite small and under 15.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
WHY NOT PLAY IN THE FIRST SATURDAY TOURNAMENTS IN BUDAPEST? Some section are weak enough for me, or Tim Spanton.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
If vaccinations mean the "third wave" of Covid is no more dangerous to humans than your routine flu, then things will be normalised accordingly.
"Set up your attacks so that when the fire is out, it isn't out!" (H N Pillsbury)
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
You have an escape plan?Stewart Reuben wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 5:59 pmWHY NOT PLAY IN THE FIRST SATURDAY TOURNAMENTS IN BUDAPEST? Some section are weak enough for me, or Tim Spanton.
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a QR code stamped on a human face — forever.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
In case Stewart turns up...and finds Tim is there?NickFaulks wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:51 pmYou have an escape plan?Stewart Reuben wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 5:59 pmWHY NOT PLAY IN THE FIRST SATURDAY TOURNAMENTS IN BUDAPEST? Some section are weak enough for me, or Tim Spanton.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
An average of 17'000 people die from Flu. The current 3rd wave modelling seems to say the most "optimistic" outcome is 30'000 deaths.Matt Mackenzie wrote: ↑Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:26 pmIf vaccinations mean the "third wave" of Covid is no more dangerous to humans than your routine flu, then things will be normalised accordingly.
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Re: (Chess) Life Returning To Normal
i think some have suggested that figure may be over-pessimistic?
Nonetheless, the wider point remains.
Nonetheless, the wider point remains.
"Set up your attacks so that when the fire is out, it isn't out!" (H N Pillsbury)