Christopher Kreuzer wrote: ↑
Wed Sep 18, 2019 11:12 pm
It has been a long time now that the World Cup has been a qualification route to the World Championship (via the Candidates). How many years exactly, does anyone know?
I was wondering if there are any players who are particularly disadvantaged by this. I am thinking of players that are unlikely to be given wildcards or qualify by rating, but who would also be unlikely to make it through the rigours of the World Cup and its increasingly fast time controls (but might have advanced far under the old system of Interzonals and matchplay). I would point to McShane and Jones and Adams as examples of this, but then I had hoped they would get a bit further than they did, so maybe best not to go there.
I guess what I am trying to say is, who is the best player to have never qualified for the Candidates (by any route) since the World Cup first started to be used as a qualifying route? Which I am guessing is in the last 10-20 years or so. Maybe another way to put this is to ask which players that ended up playing Candidate matches after qualifying through Interzonal system, would have been unlikely to do well at something like the World Cup?
Or am I overstating the differences between the two systems? Would the best players still rise to the top anyway?
The World Cup has always been won by an established "best" player; it has been part of the candidates cycle since 2005, I think, when the winners have been Aronian, Kamsky, Gelfand, Svidler, Kramnik, Karjakin & Aronian again (Vishy won the 2 WCs when they were not qualifiers)
The last 4 runners-up have qualified, Ding, Svidler & Grischuk are no issue, so maybe only Andreikin is an outlier
In 2011 there was also Ivanchuk qualifying in 3rd place
In 2009 & 2007 the runners up didn't qualify (shame for Ponomariov & Shirov); in 2007 too, the beaten semi-finalists were Carlsen & Karjakin!
In 2005 all the top 4 qualified, so Ponomariov & Grischuk were no issue, and maybe Bacrot was an outlier
Whether any of these would have qualified through an Interzonal is anyone's guess; no doubt that system threw up surprise qualifiers too